The bill forces a rapid, evidence-focused federal study to inform the long-term economic effects of immigration policy—providing policymakers and the public with potentially valuable fiscal and sectoral insight but risking a rushed analysis, political misuse of results, and added data/privacy or administrative burdens.
Taxpayers, state and local governments, policymakers, and the general public gain a single, evidence-based 20–40 year estimate of the long-term economic effects of immigration policies beginning Jan 20, 2025, improving federal and subfederal budgeting and public debate.
Healthcare workers, farm and agricultural workers, small-business owners, public- and service-sector workers, and STEM employers get industry-specific projections that can inform targeted workforce, economic, and sectoral policy responses.
Federal agencies (DHS, BLS, IRS) are required to provide data to the study, which should improve the analysis's accuracy and timeliness for policymakers and oversight bodies.
Taxpayers and policymakers may receive a rushed or less rigorous analysis because the bill requires a complex 20–40 year study to be completed within 180 days, limiting depth, peer review, and methodological refinement.
Immigrants could face greater risk if the study's findings are selectively used for political purposes to justify restrictive immigration measures despite methodological uncertainty.
Federal agencies and taxpayers could incur increased administrative burdens and potential privacy risks from expedited data-sharing requirements to support the study.
Based on analysis of 2 sections of legislative text.
Requires CBO and CEA to study and publish the 20–40 year economic effects of immigration policies in effect from Jan 20, 2025, with DHS/BLS/IRS data-sharing, within 180 days.
Official title: To direct the Congressional Budget Office to conduct a study with respect to the long-term economic impact of Trump Administration immigration policies, and for other purposes.
Introduced February 4, 2026 by Yassamin Ansari · Last progress February 4, 2026
Requires the Congressional Budget Office, working with the Council of Economic Advisers, to produce and publish a 20–40 year economic study of immigration policies implemented beginning January 20, 2025. The study must analyze effects across industries, public safety, demographics, productivity, small businesses, and fiscal revenues, and must be completed within 180 days of enactment or by the end of the 119th Congress, whichever is earlier. Directs DHS, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the IRS to share requested data with the CBO to support the study. The law only creates a study requirement and a data-sharing obligation for federal agencies; it does not appropriate funds or change substantive immigration or tax law.