The bill directs a rapid, data-supported CBO study of the long-term economic effects of immigration to improve fiscal policymaking, but it risks a rushed or politicized analysis and creates administrative/privacy burdens for agencies.
Taxpayers, state and local governments, and policymakers will receive a comprehensive, evidence-based 20–40 year estimate of immigration policy's economic and fiscal effects (study to begin Jan 20, 2025), improving budgeting and policy decisions.
Healthcare workers, farmers, service-sector employees, and STEM employers will get industry-specific analyses that can inform targeted workforce and economic policy responses.
Requiring DHS, BLS, and IRS to provide data to the CBO will improve the accuracy and timeliness of the study's estimates.
Taxpayers and policymakers may get a rushed or only partially peer-reviewed 20–40 year analysis because of the mandated 180-day deadline, reducing the study's depth and reliability.
Immigrants and immigrant communities could be harmed if the study's findings are politically used to justify restrictive immigration measures despite methodological uncertainty.
Federal agencies and taxpayers may face increased administrative burdens and potential privacy risks from expanded data-sharing obligations with the CBO.
Based on analysis of 2 sections of legislative text.
Requires CBO (with the CEA) to produce a 20–40 year economic study of immigration policies in effect beginning Jan 20, 2025, and publish it within 180 days.
Introduced February 4, 2026 by Yassamin Ansari · Last progress February 4, 2026
Requires the Congressional Budget Office, working with the Council of Economic Advisers, to prepare and publish a long‑range (20–40 year) economic study of immigration policies that are in effect beginning January 20, 2025. The study must be finished and made public within 180 days after enactment or by the end of the 119th Congress, whichever comes first, and must cover industry impacts, demographic and emigration effects, productivity and innovation, small business impacts, and fiscal consequences at federal, state, and local levels. Directs the Department of Homeland Security, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and Internal Revenue Service to provide data to the CBO on request to support the study. The other section only gives the law an official short title and does not authorize funding or create other duties.