Sponsors (34)
The bill would give governments and the public more detailed fiscal and industry-level evidence about long-term immigration impacts, but a tight 180-day timeline, data-sharing burdens, and the risk of political misuse create trade-offs in quality, privacy, and potential harm to immigrants.
Taxpayers and federal, state, and local governments will receive a single, evidence-based estimate of the long-term (20–40 year) economic effects of immigration policies beginning Jan 20, 2025, giving policymakers clearer fiscal information for budgeting and policy choices.
Workers and employers in specific industries (public sector, service, farm, healthcare, STEM) will get industry-level analysis that can inform targeted workforce and economic policy responses.
Federal agencies (DHS, BLS, IRS) are required to furnish data to the study, which should increase the accuracy and timeliness of the analysis for federal and state decisionmaking.
Policymakers and taxpayers may get a rushed or shallow product because the bill mandates a 180-day deadline for a complex 20–40 year economic analysis, limiting depth and peer review.
Immigrants could be harmed if the study is used politically to justify restrictive immigration measures despite methodological uncertainty.
Federal agencies and taxpayers could face increased administrative burdens and potential privacy concerns from the mandated data-sharing to support the study.
Based on analysis of 2 sections of legislative text.
Directs CBO (with CEA) to produce a public 20–40 year economic study of immigration policies in effect from Jan 20, 2025, with required interagency data-sharing.
Official title: To direct the Congressional Budget Office to conduct a study with respect to the long-term economic impact of Trump Administration immigration policies, and for other purposes.
Introduced February 4, 2026 by Yassamin Ansari · Last progress February 4, 2026
Requires the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), working with the Council of Economic Advisers, to produce and publish a 20–40 year economic study of immigration policies that take effect starting January 20, 2025. The study must be completed and made public within 180 days of enactment (or by the last day of the 119th Congress, if earlier) and examine sectoral effects, demographic and emigration changes, productivity and innovation, impacts on small businesses, public safety and crime implications from widespread fear, and tax and fiscal consequences at federal, state, and local levels. DHS, BLS, and the IRS must provide requested data to the CBO to support the study.